Prop 8 to ban gay marriage in california gaining ground

vbimport

#1

GUY’S
While I feel that the law imposed by one judge
granting gay marriage was the wrong way to go.
I do feel that gay people do have a point about
discrimination. Here in CALIFORNIA a proposition to
change the state constitution which would ban gay
marriage is on the ballot. This is a sad situation given
despite the radicals,there are a lot of good gay people
who I believe should have the right to a marriage ceremony.
So I think a better way to go would be just to scrap the
law imposed by the one judge,and scrap the proposition.
So that the state legislature can work out a compromise.
ZAP.:(:(Bookmark & Share

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New poll suggests support for Proposition 8 in wake of ad campaign

By Mike Swift Mercury News

Article Launched: 10/07/2008 06:56:55 PM PDT

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Following a recent spate of television and radio ads on behalf of a constitutional ban on same-sex marriage, a new poll suggests a rise in support for Proposition 8, the ballot measure that would block gay men and lesbians from marrying.

The new poll found that 47 percent expected to vote yes on Proposition 8, which would eliminate the right of same-sex couples to marry, while 42 percent expected to vote no. That is a notable difference from a SurveyUSA poll released Sept. 25 which found 44 percent planned to vote yes, while 49 percent planned to vote no — an apparent 10 point swing.

The new poll, done on behalf of four California television stations on Oct. 4 and 5, is not conclusive that a same-sex marriage ban has pulled into the lead. But although SurveyUSA said the Proposition 8 campaign remains too close to call because of potential statistical error, the new poll is the first that shows the measure gaining strength since late September and potentially pulling ahead.

However, Jay H. Leve, the CEO of SurveyUSA, said that in a contentious, highly charged issue like same-sex marriage, it is particularly difficult to accurately peg public opinion.

“It looks to me that there was not a precipitous or a dramatic change since Sept. 25. Within that narrow band, if there was movement, there was movement to yes. But I wouldn’t want to jump on that as conclusive proof of anything,” Leve said. "Any reporter should hear the caution


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in my voice. It’s like looking through a mist at a distant horizon."

Previous polls by the Field Organization and the Public Policy Institute of California have showed Proposition 8 trailing by double digits. Those polls, however, are not necessarily in conflict with the SurveyUSA results, said Leve and Mark DiCamillo, director of the Field Poll. That’s because the Field and PPIC polls were done before the start of media campaigns, and used different methods. The SurveyUSA polls, for example, were done with automated telephone interviews.

The most recent Field Poll, released Sept. 18, showed Proposition 8 trailing 38 percent to 55 percent. But DiCamillo said he would not be surprised if television ads might have generated some movement in the campaign. Field does not expect to release another Proposition 8 poll until the Thursday or Friday before Election Day.

“TV ads can make a difference,” DiCamillo said. “It’s certainly a highly charged issue.”

The Yes on 8 campaign attributed the potential gains shown in the poll to its intense door-to-door campaigning effort, as well as its television campaign, which shows San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom proclaiming of same-sex marriage: “It’s gonna happen, whether you like it or not!”

The poll “is an indication of the strength of our cause, the breadth of our support,” said Chip White, the press secretary for Yes on 8, ProtectMarriage.com. The campaign plans to release a new television ad in another day or so, White said.

Surprisingly, the new poll showed some of the strongest support among younger voters, those aged 18 to 34, a group that has been consistently opposed to a same-sex marriage ban in polls by other organizations and in an earlier poll by SurveyUSA.

SurveyUSA noted, however, that the youngest voters “are the hardest to poll” and are “the most unpredictable voters.”

Contact Mike Swift at (408) 271-3648 or at mswift@mercurynews.com.

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Simpleton produces simply fallacious arguments: The yes on 8 supporters are united until Nov. 4 After that …

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FD HIDDEN DIV


#2

Come to Connecticut, you can pork whoever you want. This statement in no way suggests whether I am for or against it, it is a statement of fact. We shoot pedophiles though. Which has nothing to do with gay marriage.