I think that single layer DVD recorders will still be sold for some time. This because of the simple reasons that: a) Dual layer DVD burners and dual layer DVD media will be expensive, and b) Not everyone needs dual layer. I mean if you want to back-up a DVD movie for instance you can often use a single layer DVDR disc. If there is not enough space you can remove the extra's and such giving you a perfect copy of just the movie. I often prefer this over a complete copy of a DVD movie (with a menu, etc.) simply because it takes longer before you can actually watch the movie. But I do agree that 12x DVD recorders will not last very long. 16x DVD recorders will be available in a few months.