There are def new burners on the horizon... I'll post a little post I made in another forum
It would be interesting to see how things pan out. DVD +/- R SL is basically a siiting duck (don't expect to see anything new here). I suspect 8x DVD-RW is going to come soon. The question is, will higher speeds comes, for both + and - RW? We all know the way we saw things happen with CD-RW, where things were static for a while then there was quite a large increase (along with a new kind of CD-RW). Things are diff for +/-RW but it will be interesting to see whether 10, 12x and 16x +/- RW arrive and if they do, how long it takes.
The DL area is another interesting once. Samsung/Toshiba has claimed they may be able to add 5x (I suspect they meant 6x) support the their 552B (and probably 552U). They have already added 4x DL support along with increased +/- RW speed with the 552B.
Meanwhile, the Plextor has added 6x. I suspect it will be possible for all manufacturers to add increased spee although whether they will or not remains to be seen. Of course, a new drive with slightly better components might be better but this is hard to say. What next? 8x? 10x?
And what about DVD-R DL? Will the Samsung get it with firmware? What about the LG and the Philips/Benq? A lot of interesting things to see.
I had been thinking of getting a good DVD burner since I need a DVD reader and had thought even when the price of DVD writers comes down in the future, the difference between the combined price of DVD-rom that I bought and a DVD burner in the future compared to DVD burner now would mean it would be about the same amount I paid. But I am starting to change my mind and may get either a very cheap DVD burner (4x) or just a DVD rom since I think there is still a bit too much to come from DVD burners and it's not clear if we are going to get that with new firmware (which IMHO, is possible but manufacturers don't tend to do it) or we'll have to buy new drives