these are the points i mainly agree with:
The fact is that blue-ray technologies and high def won't be meaningful until 2006 and won't be mainstream until 2007. But that timespan isn't deterring the two camps because there will be huge amounts of money involved in licensing fees from the people who decide to produce players, drives, recorders, content and recordable media.
While the movie and content industry states that it wants to deliver a better consumer experience, they are really more concerned about having a technology that provides the 100% copy protection the industry demands. Studios are beginning to feel the bit of piracy. As quickly as possible they want to ensure they avoid the fate of CD sales and online file swapping.
Such a box will be expensive during the early years so this could move volume consumer demand out even further. Without a single solution we could be looking at high def not really taking off until 2008? 2009?
With the street price for burners sitting at $70, DVD recorders at about $150, DVD players going for as little as $20 and DVDR media priced about 60 cents (and less) per disc we're only now seeing the consumer demand coming close to the volumes of devices/media being produced.
But what will you purchase next year - DVD or a flavor of blue-ray technology? [B]Take a look at the movie titles you want to buy or rent and what's your choice? DVD. Take a look at the TV content you just have to archive? Not a lot of high def! How many high def full-length videos do you plan to produce? For that matter, how many feature length DVDs?
Consumers are only now beginning to convert from VHS in large numbers. In many parts of the country and the world people are finally stepping up to DVD quality. High def is better? Is it that much better? Consumers - mainstream consumers - will probably wait for 2006 to make that call. If the hassling continues they may wait until 2007 or ????[/B]