If Blu-Ray goes the way like DVD-Recorders, we can expect these to come down to affordable prices within two to three years.
I remember when CD recorders costed around â‚¬ 5,000 in 1994 (or about then) and took about 8 years before they even came to an affordable price of around â‚¬ 100. When DVD recorders were launched, these also started costing over â‚¬ 1,000 but quickly fell to affordable prices in just two years.
While sony have launched its business Blu-Ray version, it may be just a few months before the consumer version comes out. I cannot see these leaving the shelves too quickly however as dual-layer DVD recordables have yet to be launched and these will likely cost only a fraction of the price of Blu-Ray recorders.
Another reason why DVD recorders took off so quickly is the ability to playback recorded DVD-Video discs in standalone DVD players. However, Blu-Ray standalone players have yet to be launched and consumers seem to be more interested in purchasing CD and DVD recordables for audio & visual content rather than using them as a PC data backup medium. Unlike CDs and DVDs, Blu-Ray discs can only be played back in a Blu-Ray drive, at least until standalone Blu-Ray players come out