Either format is going to have a slow go of it. Not enough time has passed between the introduction of DVD and this. People forget that most people simply don’t have the ability or the desire to run giddily out to the store and start slinging 100-dollar bills around whenever “the industry” decides it’s time for all of us to move on to the next big thing. Which format will win? No one knows, because the public is fickle, doesn’t always choose the option that seems to make the most sense, and never follows the dictates of supposed experts. If any of that was true, we’d all be throwing out our Betamax machines to make room for DVD players. The public (me included) will wait for all the “early adopters” to go out and spend $500 for the first machines, let all the kinks get worked out, and then spend the $100 they’ll cost by then. And if they don’t play/record CDs and DVDs, no one will bother. You can only ask people to replace all their favorite movies/music so many times before they tell you where to step off.